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Republican-Led Virginia Surges Ahead of Democrat-Run Maryland in Economic Showdown

Governor Youngkin’s policies propel Virginia to economic success while Maryland struggles with deficits and declining outlook.

Virginia and Maryland may share a border, but the economic performance of these two states could not be more different. Under the leadership of Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin, Virginia is outpacing its Democrat-controlled neighbor in job growth, fiscal responsibility, and overall economic health, while Maryland is facing serious financial challenges.

In a letter from Virginia’s Secretary of Finance, Stephen E. Cummings, Virginia’s economic success under Republican governance was laid out in stark contrast to Maryland’s faltering numbers. Between January 2022 and June 2024, Virginia added a remarkable 259,000 jobs. Meanwhile, Maryland, led by Democrats, only managed to add 73,000 jobs during the same period, placing it dead last in the nation.

Additional key metrics underscore Virginia's success:

  • Virginia ranks 10th in net inbound U-Haul moves, suggesting a healthy influx of people moving into the state. Maryland, on the other hand, ranks a lowly 44th.

  • Virginia has built up a robust cash reserve, ending fiscal year 2024 with a $1.2 billion surplus and finishing 2023 with $3 billion more than expected.

Meanwhile, Maryland's financial situation is bleak. A recent report from Maryland’s Comptroller sounded the alarm about the state’s unsustainable operations. Maryland’s budget for fiscal year 2025 slashes $1.4 billion in general fund spending compared to 2024, and the state has been forced to dip into its rainy day fund just to keep afloat. Even worse, estimates show that Maryland will face a structural deficit of $485 million by 2025, ballooning to over $3 billion by 2028.

The consequences of poor fiscal management in Maryland are already being felt:

  • Moody’s downgraded Maryland’s outlook to “negative” in May 2024, highlighting concerns about the state’s ability to maintain financial balance without raising taxes or cutting essential services.

  • Maryland has been forced to cut $1.3 billion from transportation funding due to its budget crisis, jeopardizing key infrastructure projects.

Cummings's letter summed up the broader trend, stating, “Lower cost, business-friendly states have captured the vast majority of domestic migration at the expense of higher cost, less attractive business environments.” In short, people and businesses are flocking to states like Virginia, where conservative leadership prioritizes lower taxes and economic growth, while states like Maryland, burdened by high taxes and reckless spending, are falling behind.

Virginia’s success story didn’t happen by accident. Governor Youngkin, a former business executive, has focused on fostering a business-friendly climate, strengthening fiscal responsibility, and reducing the burden on taxpayers. His policies have clearly paid off. While he is limited to one term, his lieutenant governor, Winsome Sears, has already announced her campaign for the governorship, signaling a continuation of Youngkin’s successful policies.

The message is clear: Democrat-led states like Maryland, weighed down by unsustainable budgets and negative economic outlooks, are being outpaced by Republican-led states like Virginia. The economic showdown between these two neighbors serves as a powerful example of the importance of sound fiscal leadership.

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