The 2024 Republican primary race appears to have a distinct front-runner according to recent polls from Iowa – the first state to cast votes in the upcoming presidential primary. In an exciting development, former President Donald Trump is clearly leading the pack by a significant margin.
According to the Thursday poll conducted by Emerson College, Trump has secured an impressive 62 percent support from Iowa Republicans who participate in the caucus. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, known for his unwavering conservatism, trails far behind with 20 percent backing, roughly less than one-third of Trump’s support.
While these figures hint at an uphill battle for DeSantis, it’s worth noting that the polling took place before the governor’s official announcement of his presidential bid on Wednesday. Despite the current numbers, DeSantis is seen by many as the only Republican candidate capable of challenging Trump for the nomination, given his noteworthy record and alignment with core conservative values.
In comparison to Trump and DeSantis, other prospective Republican candidates combined are backed by less than 20 percent of the respondents in this survey. However, the race is still in its early stages, and we can expect a lot of shifts and turns in the coming months.
Further raising conservative spirits, the poll also shows Trump leading over current President Joe Biden in a hypothetical general election match-up, garnering 49 percent support against Biden’s 38 percent. Even DeSantis, despite his lower intra-party support, leads Biden by 45 percent to 38 percent in a similar scenario.
With Trump’s victory in 2020, Iowa has strengthened its alignment with Republican values. The last time Iowa leaned toward the Democrats was during the 2012 presidential race when Mitt Romney was the Republican contender.
On the Democratic side, Biden has a stronghold with 69 percent of the party’s support, leaving his nearest rival, Robert Kennedy Jr, trailing significantly with just 11 percent backing.
It’s noteworthy that while Democrats have realigned their primary and caucus schedule, removing Iowa’s first-in-the-nation status, Iowa Republicans are set to commence the GOP’s schedule.
This recent poll surveyed 1,064 registered voters and has a margin of error of 2.9 percent. Although it’s just the beginning of the 2024 presidential primary race, these early indications bring promising news for conservatives and the GOP, signaling strong support for conservative leaders, particularly the former president.
As the race continues to unfold, we can look forward to a spirited competition that promotes and upholds our conservative principles. While it’s early days yet, one thing is clear: the conservative base remains strong, and the promise of a compelling contest lies ahead.